Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 167.071014 196.379818 231.507070 277.374410 336.700378 4.123223e+02 518.530357
2025-03-02 130.148166 165.565453 213.188349 284.334955 392.606987 5.601668e+02 860.499329
2025-03-09 110.140004 147.020173 200.314799 287.382144 436.141155 7.037411e+02 1296.963862
2025-03-16 94.252898 130.009643 184.334227 279.012574 455.656891 8.147783e+02 1778.672891
2025-03-23 86.489452 123.169761 181.725363 290.749382 514.214674 1.036453e+03 2822.893282
2025-03-30 76.352940 110.903386 167.797956 278.339830 519.647617 1.142215e+03 3721.897823
2025-04-06 70.580308 104.745574 162.959933 281.620678 560.343489 1.372219e+03 5748.225717
2025-04-13 65.131710 98.357992 156.578023 280.111874 589.283049 1.595704e+03 8735.445678
2025-04-20 62.729648 96.808175 158.661273 296.870899 673.345805 2.109137e+03 18378.576746
2025-04-27 61.629842 97.351634 164.716555 324.196720 803.783101 3.041623e+03 59761.633594
2025-05-04 57.708126 92.305264 158.919762 321.768294 840.247472 3.584410e+03 145866.469748
2025-05-11 55.117908 89.446244 157.162171 329.120186 916.132820 4.580583e+03 863091.929582
2025-05-18 52.065852 85.798462 154.083857 334.833265 1002.466493 6.112951e+03 NaN
2025-05-25 49.471681 82.819619 152.165618 343.982574 1116.943737 8.722506e+03 NaN
2025-06-01 46.837368 79.441898 148.784137 347.936199 1214.988115 1.218517e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 43.612685 74.544882 141.213972 337.070803 1231.706131 1.468271e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 42.200384 73.203153 141.765149 352.317060 1412.508557 2.519261e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 39.286675 68.466799 133.526938 336.198818 1390.297026 2.889305e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 37.664855 66.312279 131.341276 340.453255 1511.429792 4.662816e+04 NaN
2025-07-06 35.898450 63.694067 127.662099 338.496093 1591.125699 7.151206e+04 NaN
2025-07-13 35.292169 63.520059 130.162425 360.294014 1897.000095 2.293840e+05 NaN
2025-07-20 35.179862 64.413559 135.600031 396.106326 2427.618463 4.161008e+06 NaN
2025-07-27 33.661318 62.015232 131.839683 392.910437 2555.848911 9.995795e+07 NaN